VolvoHeretic
VolvoHeretic Dork
5/4/23 5:57 p.m.
VolvoHeretic said:

In 1950 us humans emitted about 6 billion tons of CO2 world wide which was the major contributor of greenhouse gasses. In 2021 we produce 37 billion tons. I'm no math whizz, but if the average yearly amount is 21.5 billion tons (judging by the straightness of the acceleration line) times 70 years, we have spewed out 1.5 trillion tons of CO2 plus all of the cow burp greenhouse gasses. There is no way that 1.5 trillion tons is not going to make an impact on our planet. My math sure could be suspect, but I don't see any data on the total tonnage. This website has an interactive chart which lists the annual amount released, it would be nice if some statistician could add them all up and give us an answer. Our World In Data.org: Global CO2 emissions from fossil fuels

Don't think that the government can't and won't step in and mandate how and which cars are sold (you buy)? I remember the gas crisis of the 70s and the rush to buy Pintos and Gremlins. I also remember the wonderful 55 mph nation wide speed limit that lasted for 21 year. Several states have already started banning the sale of ICE cars to start sometime in the near future.

The easiest way for the Gooberment to mandate what you drive is to just slap on a $5 per gallon tax on your gasoline.

I'm the one who said that we have pumped 1.5 trillion tons of CO2 into the atmosphere in the last 70 years that can be directly attributed to Human activity.

Texas A&M: Ancient Deepsea Shells Reveal 66 Million Years Of Carbon Dioxide Levels

These guys are basically saying that rapid climate change is bad for living creatures, from a little astroid that ended the dinosaur's 150 million year reign to what us monkeys are doing to the Earth today. 

As we are witnessing right now, once you pass the tipping point of melting Ice Sheets, they collapse rapidly and far faster than anyone ever imagined (think hundreds of years instead of thousands. Once Greenland dumps all of that cold fresh water into the North Atlantic, the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) will collapse and we will probably be driven into another Ice Age. Deny all you want and good luck.

Phys.org: Ocean current system seems to be approaching a tipping point

Wisc.edu: Abrupt climate change could follow collapse of Earth’s oceanic conveyor belt

earthobservatory.nasa.gov: Explaining Rapid Climate Change: Tales from the Ice

education.nationalgeographic.org: Ocean Currents and Climate

See education.nationalgeographic.org: Ocean Currents and Climate for the animation above.

AnthonyGS (Forum Supporter)
AnthonyGS (Forum Supporter) UberDork
5/4/23 7:10 p.m.

Govt subsidies aren't forcing things?  It's forcing the taxpayers to pay for this.  Govt mandates to switch by XXXX date aren't forcing things?  

And a ppm is 1/1000000.  Getting from 420/1000000 to trillions and trillions is a pretty huge leap.  Of course no one can grasp what a trillion dollars is so why would they be able to conceptualize 1 trillion tons.

 

And no the planet will never run out of hydrocarbon to use.  
 

The climate has always changed and always will.  It's not the dire emergency it is portrayed as.  The world is far more likely to die from total nuclear war but no one is worried about that because the TV is screaming climate change!  
 

The thermal efficiency of the internal combustion engine is low.  The argument for EVs didn't account for generational losses or grid losses though.  You compared an apple to a rock not even another fruit.  
 

And first we were all going to die from global warming now it's another ice age.  Which is it?  
 

 

frenchyd
frenchyd MegaDork
5/5/23 10:45 a.m.

If you notice most of my reasoning has to do with costs.   
      If the government wants to move in one direction, home ownership for example.  It subsidizes it.   
  The government also spends money on other goals such as roads and bridges.  Trains and airplanes.  Yes the electrical grid as well.  
  Oh!  Oil depletion allowance and write offs, too!   

       My logic is it's easier to extract energy from the Sun and Wind. The nice thing is the weather bureau  will tell you how much Sun and how much wind a given area has.  
 Then you put up solar panels or wind generators and produce something that is directly usable  right in your yard. 

     Or you can  dig a deep hole in the ground,   Hope you hit the right spot or conditions, fracture shale, pump water in to extract the crude, separate  the crude from the water.  Transport it to a refinery someplace where it can be converted into something useable.    Then transport that someplace you can drive to to get your fuel.  


     Yes I ignored the cost of building that gas station, putting tanks in the ground, getting electrical power to it so the fuel can be pumped out. And the owner makes his nickle a gallon to pay for everything.  

   Solar, and sometimes wind skips all those steps.  Sun shines ( or goes through clouds)  usable power is created. 
 

OK only 18-22% of the suns energy is converted to electricity. And those silicon wafers only last 20-30 years.  But Early days. 
  The Germans are working on making an ink like substance. That converts 50% or more. Of the suns energy. And can be made with a silkscreening  like process dramatically  reducing costs.   
      Imagine a tarp spread across your roof   That might actually generate electricity from a full moon!  

      Plus Tesla is full on making batteries.  If you follow what they did in Australia in 100 days.  Or what they are doing in The UK  where they expect the windmills in the North Atlantic to generate 100% of the power they need.  By 2030.  ( or sooner). 
     Interesting reading about the ship that smashed into one of those wind generators and did serious damage  to the ship with only cosmetic damage to the the tower it ran into. 

VolvoHeretic
VolvoHeretic Dork
5/5/23 10:57 a.m.
AnthonyGS (Forum Supporter) said:

And no the planet will never run out of hydrocarbon to use.  

Says who? Sounds made up.

GIRTHQUAKE
GIRTHQUAKE SuperDork
5/5/23 11:56 a.m.
AnthonyGS (Forum Supporter) said:

And first we were all going to die from global warming now it's another ice age.  Which is it? 

You're running again Anthony.

You LITERALLY POSTED this research article here at the top of the last page that shows over 420 parts per million of CO2 in the atmosphere, which per NOAA means trillions of tons of CO2 have entered the atmosphere. You claimed it was caused by "natural processes" but have refused to prove of any.

Mustang50
Mustang50 Reader
5/5/23 12:16 p.m.

I believe that we will eventually switch from ICE to some other form of power.  The President of Ford recently announced we can't continue with EV's until we are allowed to mine for the materials to manufacture the batteries domestically.   The politicians are pushing climate change as an issue to get themselves re-elected.  They've tried to stop oil production in this country forcing us to rely on foreign suppliers.  I believe we can extract our energy needs safer and cheaper  than OPEC and the Russians.  Overseas suppliers do not have similar EPA regulations that we have.  

I am also concerned when the government will go after our hobby.

Opti
Opti SuperDork
5/5/23 1:03 p.m.

In reply to GIRTHQUAKE :

Yes, "only" half a billion tons of CO2, not counting all the other benefits that regular exercise gets people, or the long term effects of people now not using resources, or the health benefits, ect.

1% improvement should never be considered? If I spend 30 minutes on my project car a day and only make 1% progress in doing so, should I just scrap it because it isn't 5 or 10? Should I scrap going to the gym tonight because I'll only increase my deadlift by ~10 lbs? You're giving up before you even try Opti.

You are equating something you can actually achieve easily and quickly at no cost to others with very low stakes, going to the gym or working on you car everyday, to something that is so pie in the sky it will never happen and would take decades even if it could and still essentially be immaterial. They are not the same its a false equivalency and a terrible analogy.

Half a billion sounds like a lot, but relatively its not. If your solution was easy to implement, with little to no cost, and could be done quickly I might be in favor of it. You going to the gym is not the same as getting the entire world to bike at the level of Denmark.

Remember how everyone used that claim of "too spread out" for why electric cars wouldn't work in the US? I wonder why they stopped lmao

And "Cant bike goods into walkable cities"? I didn't say that, don't be putting your words in my mouth now wink. What the hell is "Large scale biking"? People think I'm nuts doing ~5 miles total to my local gym but it only takes me 15-20 minutes. Is biking a mile away to grab half and half from my local supermarket "Large scale biking" too? This phrase means friggin nothing lol.

I didnt claim EVs wouldnt work because the US is spread out. I said biking and walking on a large scale wont work because the US is too spread out. Im glad that you have the time to spend 40 minutes biking to and from the gym and only covering 10 miles, not everyone has the time or the physical capability to do that. If you walk to your supermarket to buy bread but the bread was trucked in by a diesel truck and the energy used to keep the lights on is made by a coal plant 40 miles away, you havent made a material difference. 

It's a tool in the toolbox, it gives people options- and my prior links showed it absolutely is, since Denmark makes a quarter of the carbon the US does and it's apart of it.

If you think people biking in Denmark makes a real material difference its shows a complete misunderstanding of whats going on.

 Opti EVERYTHING needs fossil fuels. They're gonna run out eventually, so why would you EVER want to burn more than you need to? Again, you're giving everything up before you even try, demanding some kind of silver bullet to all these ills when that'll never exist.

I agree. Why would we ever burn more than we need to. We disagree on where that point is. I think its dumb to use the energy source that emits more CO2 and is less energy dense to only mention a couple of the drawbacks (wind) compared to a a better one. Nuclear energy is almost a silver bullet. It solves a ton of problems, and if our energy is the cleanest one possible while being cheap it also has huge trickle down effects. It even goes a long way to actually making EVs substantially cleaner than ICE.

Emphasis mine. You go from "we have a massive waste problem" with a link to recycling for it existing, now "Well we're only just starting and it's government's fault!" as if the Free market wasn't the real driving factor here behind wind and solar power (LINK 1 and LINK 2). You don't get to use the fed as a cop-out here opti; these corporations bury the blades because the problem is mostly one of cost and access to equipment, AKA cost. Quoted from the Union of Concerned Scientists:

I dont deny wind and solar cost has come down. It obviously has. My problem with federal government is they incentivized something that was not economically viable and they set the parameters to make it  viable. Theyve been subsidizing wind since i think 1992. The government has and still is actively supporting the industry. You cant say an industry that was largely propped up by government subsidies is a result of the free market. The technological advancements may have come from investment in the market, but that was all precipitated by government intervention. So I do get to blame the fed. The other issue is the government set these subsidies with no requirement for disposal/recycling, businesses made decisions on viability based off that information, the government should not be able to change it after the fact. It could literally be the difference between a profit and  a loss. Itd be punitive to these companies. If you want to change it going forward cool, we should not force a change in the economic viability of a business by changing the terms afterwards. This is a huge reason why nuclear is so expensive in the US, large regulatory changes quickly and after the investment.

Also your quote essentially says yah its expensive and hard to cut the blades so we are largely still just burying them. Thats exactly what Im saying, we havent solved it. You understand theoretically we may have a solution, deployment is a whole different thing. One that apparently isnt viable according to your own source. So we still have a problem. Dont tell me its solved then post a source saying its not.

Wrong. From the Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy: "EVs convert over 77% of the electrical energy from the grid to power at the wheels. Conventional gasoline vehicles only convert about 12%–30% of the energy stored in gasoline to power at the wheels."

I'd LOVE to see you prove how that massive chain of transportation of gasoline from Texas is somehow equally as efficient as my cities grid.

Thank you for proving my point. "Energy from the grid." Where does energy from the grid come from? In the US it largely comes from trucking large amounts of fossil fuels to a plant that then uses that fossil fuels to spin things and create energy. Theoretically very similar in the way that we use gasoline in an ICE. All you did is was move the yard stick from in front of to behind energy creation. Ive already presented the efficiency loss from coal and nat gas plants, how come you dont equate that into the efficiency of EVs?

It's partially that, also "If you want to continue to own smart phones, accessories, laptops and all other current aspects of western life you need more lithium-ion battery production, which you don't have yet." Lithium Iron Phosphates are cells that last ~5 times longer than a lithium ion and are far safer and cheaper, so there's tons of reasons to go for them over stock Li-ion cells that make much more sense for your average consumer.

As for who else- Everyone really has said they're gonna do it, Toyota is with the terribly-named BZ4X but i'm having a hell of a time finding the article that showed buyers which was which outside of range. I think there's 3 different BZ4X'es, one using Samsung cells, one with Panasonics and a third using BYDs.

So another we are working on it. As in its not solved but we are working on it. Again there is a difference between working on it and deployment. Why does the government subsidize/force people to move into non viable solutions (wind/EVs) before we have solutions to problems that cause massive amounts of waste or human suffering? 

 You said " Cap and trade and carbon taxes wont do anything" and I'm genuinely asking why. I need YOU to prove your opinion.

It is obvious. It creates a barrier to entry on behalf of the already established polluters because they have the capital already and it becomes more expensive for competition to rise. Since its a govt program and we all believe the largest corporations have their tentacles in the government, its also very much susceptible to lobbying and structured in a way to help the largest and hurt their competition. Its the same old thing as many of our laws "its only illegal if you cant afford it." The costs just get passed onto the consumer, while as you stated "everything needs fossil fuels" so at the same time they get to make it harder to compete with them. You may say well that makes it more economically viable for alternative energy source to pop up. Thats a long process and even they need fossil fuels.

Here is something weird. One of the largest polluters in the US, BP - 

https://peri.umass.edu/greenhouse-100-polluters-index-current

- are a proponent of it

https://www.bp.com/en_us/united-states/home/who-we-are/advocating-for-net-zero-in-the-us/carbon-pricing-in-the-us.html?utm_source=google&utm_medium=cpc&utm_campaign=us_carbonpricing_direct&utm_term=carbon%20tax&gclid=Cj0KCQjw0tKiBhC6ARIsAAOXutmSJgkkXSZ5USodv7O0byHjv7dqMMOuMQ78JhLin1tCPcD6WGtOtikaAtNqEALw_wcB

Exxon supporting a carbon tax

https://corporate.exxonmobil.com/news/news-releases/statements/our-position-on-climate-policy-and-carbon-pricing

Chevron

https://www.chevron.com/sustainability/environment/climate-policy

I didnt realize you agreed with huge fossil fuel companies about how we should regulate them.

 Here is an example

https://www.propublica.org/article/cap-and-trade-is-supposed-to-solve-climate-change-but-oil-and-gas-company-emissions-are-up

Spark notes: Oil and Gas companies emissions have gone up since enactment of cap and trade in California.

What is "East Palestine Ohio".

Great example. Government ruins everything. "lets burn this toxic chemical, Dont worry the air is fine to breath. Ignore the bird and fish dying everywhere." Do we really want to compare atrocities committed by the govt vs corporations? Generally the ones the corps do are actually sanctioned by the Govt.

So instead of having a way or method to change things... just don't? Toss it to (your words) equally untrustworthy corporations? Just Don't bother? I understand complaining, but we need solutions, not endless whining.  I know what you're really doing here, but I want you to actually make a point- If we supposedly can't trust government (of it's people, mind you) or corporations to run power generation, then who?

I never said that large corporations are equally untrustworthy as the govt. In fact I will outright say the opposite. The government is less trustworthy than the large corporations. The corporations follow profit incentives, largely set by the govt, and then when it results in terrible things we blame the corps. Govt needs to quit creating incentive structures that result in terrible things. We should also quit giving power to people that have routinely showed us they ruined something. 

Oh so now we're changing the discussion to being about perception? Easy- i'll tell em' the truth, that walkable infrastructure is stupid cheap and means people will be able to walk, ride bikes, or adventure more outside. It'll benefit the disabled since now they won't be reliant on vehicles, and it'll put kids into the best positions to form bike gangs with their friends. I'll sell childhood dreams and memories because that's what I'm genuinely making while at the same time building a city you don't need to own a car in to live inside of it. Nobody will know the wiser!

The conversation about "whats being done" (this conversation) is largely linked with what the national conversation is. The national conversation is centered around a bunch of nothing-burgers, while we continue business as usual. My point is, if this is such a huge problem, lets look at actual solutions, not mandating EVs that are powered by coal.

THEY'RE STILL SUPPORTING IT LMAO, THAT'S THE POINT laugh

Jesus, should we have not bothered with steam power because it ain't gas or diesel? No, we needed that E36 M3 as a stepping stone on the path of industrialization. Who cares if we get rid of nuclear if it leads to us going carbon-neutral and fixing climate change? We still did it.

Your point was we did a "180" on nuclear. I showed you a graph showing flat support over 30 years. Then I took your source and found the data behind it showing really only 15% of people support it, and most people dont support it or only support it as a stepping stone to a higher emissions energy source (wind). Its asinine and points to my previous point. We are stupid and arent doing anything. The goal isnt moving towards actual emissions reduction, its moving towards feel good marketing. The question was even framed as would you support it knowing it cleaned up emissions or something to that effect, and still they want the energy source that has a better marketing campaign (wind) but emits more. 

If you have to repeat the joke it wasn't funny the first time lmao, bumper sticker politics have been a disaster for the human race.

I agree bumper sticker politics is terrible, and thats how we get people thats opinions are completely aligned with the MSM and are taught to hate succesful people and bigger government is the solution to everything. Those ideas are opposite what the country was founded on and led to its success.

frenchyd
frenchyd MegaDork
5/5/23 2:14 p.m.
Mustang50 said:

I believe that we will eventually switch from ICE to some other form of power.  The President of Ford recently announced we can't continue with EV's until we are allowed to mine for the materials to manufacture the batteries domestically.   The politicians are pushing climate change as an issue to get themselves re-elected.  They've tried to stop oil production in this country forcing us to rely on foreign suppliers.  I believe we can extract our energy needs safer and cheaper  than OPEC and the Russians.  Overseas suppliers do not have similar EPA regulations that we have.  

I am also concerned when the government will go after our hobby.

Two points.   We are now mining the required minerals. Such as lithium here in America. ( Tesla has a battery plant in Nevada ). 
    Plus some of the newer batteries use Iron and potassium.  As a result get longer range etc.  

     Second.  The oil companies determine where we get oil from. Not the government.   If a foreign source is cheaper and better that's where it's purchased.  Oil companies also sell our oil anywhere they want. Not the government.  
      Now that I have a problem with.  We give the oil companies a depletions allowance off the taxes they would have to pay but the oil companies get to sell American oil wherever they want?   Remember the taxes they don't pay you have to make up for.  
     Finally. Your hobby?   Well 50% of the cars on the road by 2050 will still be ICE.   How old will you be in 2050?   

Opti
Opti SuperDork
5/5/23 2:21 p.m.

In reply to frenchyd :

A couple posts ago you said

" If the government wants to move in one direction, home ownership for example.  It subsidizes it. "

It can do the opposite by regulating (increasing costs) in any of the thousand available ways.

Now you say the government doesnt decide where we get oil. I couldnt disagree with you more, in fact they actively participate in deciding where we get oil from. They even lobby try to influence others nation, to align with their wants for where we get oil from.

They play a major role in where we get oil from.

frenchyd
frenchyd MegaDork
5/5/23 2:28 p.m.
Opti said:

In reply to GIRTHQUAKE :

Yes, "only" half a billion tons of CO2, not counting all the other benefits that regular exercise gets people, or the long term effects of people now not using resources, or the health benefits, ect.

1% improvement should never be considered? If I spend 30 minutes on my project car a day and only make 1% progress in doing so, should I just scrap it because it isn't 5 or 10? Should I scrap going to the gym tonight because I'll only increase my deadlift by ~10 lbs? You're giving up before you even try Opti.

You are equating something you can actually achieve easily and quickly at no cost to others with very low stakes, going to the gym or working on you car everyday, to something that is so pie in the sky it will never happen and would take decades even if it could and still essentially be immaterial. They are not the same its a false equivalency and a terrible analogy.

Half a billion sounds like a lot, but relatively its not. If your solution was easy to implement, with little to no cost, and could be done quickly I might be in favor of it. You going to the gym is not the same as getting the entire world to bike at the level of Denmark.

Remember how everyone used that claim of "too spread out" for why electric cars wouldn't work in the US? I wonder why they stopped lmao

And "Cant bike goods into walkable cities"? I didn't say that, don't be putting your words in my mouth now wink. What the hell is "Large scale biking"? People think I'm nuts doing ~5 miles total to my local gym but it only takes me 15-20 minutes. Is biking a mile away to grab half and half from my local supermarket "Large scale biking" too? This phrase means friggin nothing lol.

I didnt claim EVs wouldnt work because the US is spread out. I said biking and walking on a large scale wont work because the US is too spread out. Im glad that you have the time to spend 40 minutes biking to and from the gym and only covering 10 miles, not everyone has the time or the physical capability to do that. If you walk to your supermarket to buy bread but the bread was trucked in by a diesel truck and the energy used to keep the lights on is made by a coal plant 40 miles away, you havent made a material difference. 

It's a tool in the toolbox, it gives people options- and my prior links showed it absolutely is, since Denmark makes a quarter of the carbon the US does and it's apart of it.

If you think people biking in Denmark makes a real material difference its shows a complete misunderstanding of whats going on.

 Opti EVERYTHING needs fossil fuels. They're gonna run out eventually, so why would you EVER want to burn more than you need to? Again, you're giving everything up before you even try, demanding some kind of silver bullet to all these ills when that'll never exist.

I agree. Why would we ever burn more than we need to. We disagree on where that point is. I think its dumb to use the energy source that emits more CO2 and is less energy dense to only mention a couple of the drawbacks (wind) compared to a a better one. Nuclear energy is almost a silver bullet. It solves a ton of problems, and if our energy is the cleanest one possible while being cheap it also has huge trickle down effects. It even goes a long way to actually making EVs substantially cleaner than ICE.

Emphasis mine. You go from "we have a massive waste problem" with a link to recycling for it existing, now "Well we're only just starting and it's government's fault!" as if the Free market wasn't the real driving factor here behind wind and solar power (LINK 1 and LINK 2). You don't get to use the fed as a cop-out here opti; these corporations bury the blades because the problem is mostly one of cost and access to equipment, AKA cost. Quoted from the Union of Concerned Scientists:

I dont deny wind and solar cost has come down. It obviously has. My problem with federal government is they incentivized something that was not economically viable and they set the parameters to make it  viable. Theyve been subsidizing wind since i think 1992. The government has and still is actively supporting the industry. You cant say an industry that was largely propped up by government subsidies is a result of the free market. The technological advancements may have come from investment in the market, but that was all precipitated by government intervention. So I do get to blame the fed. The other issue is the government set these subsidies with no requirement for disposal/recycling, businesses made decisions on viability based off that information, the government should not be able to change it after the fact. It could literally be the difference between a profit and  a loss. Itd be punitive to these companies. If you want to change it going forward cool, we should not force a change in the economic viability of a business by changing the terms afterwards. This is a huge reason why nuclear is so expensive in the US, large regulatory changes quickly and after the investment.

Also your quote essentially says yah its expensive and hard to cut the blades so we are largely still just burying them. Thats exactly what Im saying, we havent solved it. You understand theoretically we may have a solution, deployment is a whole different thing. One that apparently isnt viable according to your own source. So we still have a problem. Dont tell me its solved then post a source saying its not.

Wrong. From the Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy: "EVs convert over 77% of the electrical energy from the grid to power at the wheels. Conventional gasoline vehicles only convert about 12%–30% of the energy stored in gasoline to power at the wheels."

I'd LOVE to see you prove how that massive chain of transportation of gasoline from Texas is somehow equally as efficient as my cities grid.

Thank you for proving my point. "Energy from the grid." Where does energy from the grid come from? In the US it largely comes from trucking large amounts of fossil fuels to a plant that then uses that fossil fuels to spin things and create energy. Theoretically very similar in the way that we use gasoline in an ICE. All you did is was move the yard stick from in front of to behind energy creation. Ive already presented the efficiency loss from coal and nat gas plants, how come you dont equate that into the efficiency of EVs?

It's partially that, also "If you want to continue to own smart phones, accessories, laptops and all other current aspects of western life you need more lithium-ion battery production, which you don't have yet." Lithium Iron Phosphates are cells that last ~5 times longer than a lithium ion and are far safer and cheaper, so there's tons of reasons to go for them over stock Li-ion cells that make much more sense for your average consumer.

As for who else- Everyone really has said they're gonna do it, Toyota is with the terribly-named BZ4X but i'm having a hell of a time finding the article that showed buyers which was which outside of range. I think there's 3 different BZ4X'es, one using Samsung cells, one with Panasonics and a third using BYDs.

So another we are working on it. As in its not solved but we are working on it. Again there is a difference between working on it and deployment. Why does the government subsidize/force people to move into non viable solutions (wind/EVs) before we have solutions to problems that cause massive amounts of waste or human suffering? 

 You said " Cap and trade and carbon taxes wont do anything" and I'm genuinely asking why. I need YOU to prove your opinion.

It is obvious. It creates a barrier to entry on behalf of the already established polluters because they have the capital already and it becomes more expensive for competition to rise. Since its a govt program and we all believe the largest corporations have their tentacles in the government, its also very much susceptible to lobbying and structured in a way to help the largest and hurt their competition. Its the same old thing as many of our laws "its only illegal if you cant afford it." The costs just get passed onto the consumer, while as you stated "everything needs fossil fuels" so at the same time they get to make it harder to compete with them. You may say well that makes it more economically viable for alternative energy source to pop up. Thats a long process and even they need fossil fuels.

Here is something weird. One of the largest polluters in the US, BP - 

https://peri.umass.edu/greenhouse-100-polluters-index-current

- are a proponent of it

https://www.bp.com/en_us/united-states/home/who-we-are/advocating-for-net-zero-in-the-us/carbon-pricing-in-the-us.html?utm_source=google&utm_medium=cpc&utm_campaign=us_carbonpricing_direct&utm_term=carbon%20tax&gclid=Cj0KCQjw0tKiBhC6ARIsAAOXutmSJgkkXSZ5USodv7O0byHjv7dqMMOuMQ78JhLin1tCPcD6WGtOtikaAtNqEALw_wcB

Exxon supporting a carbon tax

https://corporate.exxonmobil.com/news/news-releases/statements/our-position-on-climate-policy-and-carbon-pricing

Chevron

https://www.chevron.com/sustainability/environment/climate-policy

I didnt realize you agreed with huge fossil fuel companies about how we should regulate them.

 Here is an example

https://www.propublica.org/article/cap-and-trade-is-supposed-to-solve-climate-change-but-oil-and-gas-company-emissions-are-up

Spark notes: Oil and Gas companies emissions have gone up since enactment of cap and trade in California.

What is "East Palestine Ohio".

Great example. Government ruins everything. "lets burn this toxic chemical, Dont worry the air is fine to breath. Ignore the bird and fish dying everywhere." Do we really want to compare atrocities committed by the govt vs corporations? Generally the ones the corps do are actually sanctioned by the Govt.

So instead of having a way or method to change things... just don't? Toss it to (your words) equally untrustworthy corporations? Just Don't bother? I understand complaining, but we need solutions, not endless whining.  I know what you're really doing here, but I want you to actually make a point- If we supposedly can't trust government (of it's people, mind you) or corporations to run power generation, then who?

I never said that large corporations are equally untrustworthy as the govt. In fact I will outright say the opposite. The government is less trustworthy than the large corporations. The corporations follow profit incentives, largely set by the govt, and then when it results in terrible things we blame the corps. Govt needs to quit creating incentive structures that result in terrible things. We should also quit giving power to people that have routinely showed us they ruined something. 

Oh so now we're changing the discussion to being about perception? Easy- i'll tell em' the truth, that walkable infrastructure is stupid cheap and means people will be able to walk, ride bikes, or adventure more outside. It'll benefit the disabled since now they won't be reliant on vehicles, and it'll put kids into the best positions to form bike gangs with their friends. I'll sell childhood dreams and memories because that's what I'm genuinely making while at the same time building a city you don't need to own a car in to live inside of it. Nobody will know the wiser!

The conversation about "whats being done" (this conversation) is largely linked with what the national conversation is. The national conversation is centered around a bunch of nothing-burgers, while we continue business as usual. My point is, if this is such a huge problem, lets look at actual solutions, not mandating EVs that are powered by coal.

THEY'RE STILL SUPPORTING IT LMAO, THAT'S THE POINT laugh

Jesus, should we have not bothered with steam power because it ain't gas or diesel? No, we needed that E36 M3 as a stepping stone on the path of industrialization. Who cares if we get rid of nuclear if it leads to us going carbon-neutral and fixing climate change? We still did it.

Your point was we did a "180" on nuclear. I showed you a graph showing flat support over 30 years. Then I took your source and found the data behind it showing really only 15% of people support it, and most people dont support it or only support it as a stepping stone to a higher emissions energy source (wind). Its asinine and points to my previous point. We are stupid and arent doing anything. The goal isnt moving towards actual emissions reduction, its moving towards feel good marketing. The question was even framed as would you support it knowing it cleaned up emissions or something to that effect, and still they want the energy source that has a better marketing campaign (wind) but emits more. 

If you have to repeat the joke it wasn't funny the first time lmao, bumper sticker politics have been a disaster for the human race.

I agree bumper sticker politics is terrible, and thats how we get people thats opinions are completely aligned with the MSM and are taught to hate succesful people and bigger government is the solution to everything. Those ideas are opposite what the country was founded on and led to its success.

Two quick points.  
  First please don't make such statements. "Hate"     Yes some people in both parties are jealous of successful people.  But they are a minority.  There is a fringe in both parties. But that fringe doesn't represent the majority.   
 In fact the majority of Americans are solidly in the middle.   
 Second the reason for a big powerful government is exactly the same as it was in Washington's day.  
   George Washington had to put down the whisky rebellion. The government needed to be big and powerful to do that.   
    Today big powerful oil companies want to keep making record profits. When there are cheaper ways for average citizens 

  Not all big companies are bad.  But some are. Remember EMRON?  
   Notice what some banks were doing in 2008?   
   
    

GIRTHQUAKE
GIRTHQUAKE SuperDork
5/5/23 4:02 p.m.

 And now we've struck the point of hyperfixation and Opti literally not listening to anything. Remember- I only brought up walking cities as an example, now he's clinging to it.

Opti said:

In reply to GIRTHQUAKE :

Yes, "only" half a billion tons of CO2, not counting all the other benefits that regular exercise gets people, or the long term effects of people now not using resources, or the health benefits, ect.

1% improvement should never be considered? If I spend 30 minutes on my project car a day and only make 1% progress in doing so, should I just scrap it because it isn't 5 or 10? Should I scrap going to the gym tonight because I'll only increase my deadlift by ~10 lbs? You're giving up before you even try Opti.

You are equating something you can actually achieve easily

Putting down sidewalks tends to be easier than roads, yes. But jokes aside I don't remember ever saying things would be "easy", so you're putting words in my mouth again wink

and quickly at no cost to others

It's my tax dollars too dude.

with very low stakes,

THE HIGH-STAKES BEHAVIOR OF WALKING ON A SIDEWALK, TONIGHT AT 7 ON ESPN 8! seriously, what "stakes" lmao

going to the gym or working on you car everyday, to something that is so pie in the sky it will never happen

It is happening- I have proved it's in Denmark, and I can detail how it's being used in Paris, Pennsylvania, and other dense metro cities. But you'd have to listen and read, and considering where your comment went... lol, lmao.

and would take decades even if it could and still essentially be immaterial. They are not the same its a false equivalency and a terrible analogy.

I didn't know "progress" on something was now split into different categories. Is there a list that shows "real" progress from "fake" progress? How is this magic chart gonna deal with states and nations that have different issues in combating climate change?

All jokes aside, Half a billion tons of anything is magically immaterial? My analogy must be spot-on if you're just gonna claim it's bad and not prove why.

Half a billion sounds like a lot, but relatively its not. If your solution was easy to implement, with little to no cost, and could be done quickly I might be in favor of it. You going to the gym is not the same as getting the entire world to bike at the level of Denmark.

I used walking cities as an example of how Denmark has such low emissions, and here you are claiming I'm gonna force everyone to their level? I know what you're really doing here Opti, but I want you to explain now you're mindset as to why you think that's acceptable to make that reach.

Remember how everyone used that claim of "too spread out" for why electric cars wouldn't work in the US? I wonder why they stopped lmao

And "Cant bike goods into walkable cities"? I didn't say that, don't be putting your words in my mouth now wink. What the hell is "Large scale biking"? People think I'm nuts doing ~5 miles total to my local gym but it only takes me 15-20 minutes. Is biking a mile away to grab half and half from my local supermarket "Large scale biking" too? This phrase means friggin nothing lol.

I didnt claim EVs wouldnt work because the US is spread out. I said biking and walking on a large scale wont work because the US is too spread out.

You're not reading my comments Opti. What the hell is "Large Scale Biking"? What the hell does "Spread out" mean? I'm talking about a city, not riding 20 miles to one.

Im glad that you have the time to spend 40 minutes biking to and from the gym and only covering 10 miles, not everyone has the time or the physical capability to do that.

Which is why I talk about it as giving people options instead of driving. You're not reading my comments Opti.

If you walk to your supermarket to buy bread but the bread was trucked in by a diesel truck and the energy used to keep the lights on is made by a coal plant 40 miles away, you havent made a material difference. 

Prove it. So now I haven't made a difference because of LIGHTS, not because I now didn't use gas to get something? The lights were gonna be on anyway son, I just chose not to put more crap into the atmosphere.

It's a tool in the toolbox, it gives people options- and my prior links showed it absolutely is, since Denmark makes a quarter of the carbon the US does and it's apart of it.

If you think people biking in Denmark makes a real material difference its shows a complete misunderstanding of whats going on.

Then prove those linked articles wrong. Go on, pull yerself up by them bootstraps and get to work now

 Opti EVERYTHING needs fossil fuels. They're gonna run out eventually, so why would you EVER want to burn more than you need to? Again, you're giving everything up before you even try, demanding some kind of silver bullet to all these ills when that'll never exist.

I agree. Why would we ever burn more than we need to. We disagree on where that point is.

You literally claimed that half a billion tons of ANYTHING doesn't matter earlier- what "point" could you possibly have now lol

God, your Nihilism is a hell of a drug.

I think its dumb to use the energy source that emits more CO2 and is less energy dense to only mention a couple of the drawbacks (wind) compared to a a better one.

Then prove it, like I said.

Emphasis mine. You go from "we have a massive waste problem" with a link to recycling for it existing, now "Well we're only just starting and it's government's fault!" as if the Free market wasn't the real driving factor here behind wind and solar power (LINK 1 and LINK 2). You don't get to use the fed as a cop-out here opti; these corporations bury the blades because the problem is mostly one of cost and access to equipment, AKA cost. Quoted from the Union of Concerned Scientists:

I dont deny wind and solar cost has come down. It obviously has. My problem with federal government is they incentivized something that was not economically viable and they set the parameters to make it  viable.

Damn it's almost like that's the point of a subsidy or something lol

You cant say an industry that was largely propped up by government subsidies is a result of the free market.

If you're gonna try to spin this into a "No True Scotsman" debate about what is and isn't a free market enterprise just because they received help from a government, you will lose before you even start. I would willingly argue that everything you touch has that dirty rotten hand of gubernment affecting it in some way- the touch screen in your phone was publicly funded research, google was originally ran off of pubically funded servers in UC Sacremento, and businesses everywhere accept tax breaks to set up in specific states.

This is a huge reason why nuclear is so expensive in the US, large regulatory changes quickly and after the investment.

Totally not because many nuclear wastes are bone poisons and we didn't know in the 40s-50s, or because we learned more. Or because we got scared. Like seriously dude, if you want people to jump onboard with nuclear for our future you need to at least understand and address the issues with it.

Also your quote essentially says yah its expensive and hard to cut the blades so we are largely still just burying them. Thats exactly what Im saying, we havent solved it.

You're not reading my comments Opti. I'm using it as an example that an issue can be solved, you're using it as an excuse to not do something.

There's a lot of ways to save the earth, but I doubt laziness is one of them.

You understand theoretically we may have a solution,

I don't see how a used technology, active tooling and live examples can make something "Theoretical" outside of science.

deployment is a whole different thing. One that apparently isnt viable according to your own source. So we still have a problem. Dont tell me its solved then post a source saying its not.

You're not reading my comments Opti. I didn't say it wasn't a problem. I said we are making solutions to them.

Wrong. From the Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy: "EVs convert over 77% of the electrical energy from the grid to power at the wheels. Conventional gasoline vehicles only convert about 12%–30% of the energy stored in gasoline to power at the wheels."

I'd LOVE to see you prove how that massive chain of transportation of gasoline from Texas is somehow equally as efficient as my cities grid.

Thank you for proving my point. "Energy from the grid." Where does energy from the grid come from? In the US it largely comes from trucking large amounts of fossil fuels to a plant that then uses that fossil fuels to spin things and create energy. Theoretically very similar in the way that we use gasoline in an ICE. All you did is was move the yard stick from in front of to behind energy creation. Ive already presented the efficiency loss from coal and nat gas plants, how come you dont equate that into the efficiency of EVs?

Then prove the Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy wrong, and prove that grid energy is still less efficient than a gas engine in a car.

It's partially that, also "If you want to continue to own smart phones, accessories, laptops and all other current aspects of western life you need more lithium-ion battery production, which you don't have yet." Lithium Iron Phosphates are cells that last ~5 times longer than a lithium ion and are far safer and cheaper, so there's tons of reasons to go for them over stock Li-ion cells that make much more sense for your average consumer.

As for who else- Everyone really has said they're gonna do it, Toyota is with the terribly-named BZ4X but i'm having a hell of a time finding the article that showed buyers which was which outside of range. I think there's 3 different BZ4X'es, one using Samsung cells, one with Panasonics and a third using BYDs.

So another we are working on it. As in its not solved but we are working on it.

We have cars on the road using LiFePO4 now Opti. You even admitted to knowing that with Tesla and asked me what other manufacturers are doing so too.

Why does the government subsidize/force people to move into non viable solutions (wind/EVs) before we have solutions to problems that cause massive amounts of waste or human suffering? 

Now my car is suddenly non-viable again? Prove it, like how you need to prove the power in my wall is somehow worse in efficiency than a gas engine that demands blending of different fuels like alcohol and ethanol (with their own supply chains), trucking from station AND refinery, refining, piping, and pumping out of the ground.

 You said " Cap and trade and carbon taxes wont do anything" and I'm genuinely asking why. I need YOU to prove your opinion.

It is obvious.

It clearly isn't. 

It creates a barrier to entry on behalf of the already established polluters because they have the capital already and it becomes more expensive for competition to rise.

Okay, but what competition could possibly appear in the petroleum space? To own enough wells to compete and to be able to refine your own petroleum into just say, Kerosene, you'd need a massive amount of money anyway. Why would established companies step on each others toes, if they're making healthy profits sticking to their own little spheres of influence?

Since its a govt program and we all believe the largest corporations have their tentacles in the government, its also very much susceptible to lobbying and structured in a way to help the largest and hurt their competition. Its the same old thing as many of our laws "its only illegal if you cant afford it."

True.

The costs just get passed onto the consumer, while as you stated "everything needs fossil fuels" so at the same time they get to make it harder to compete with them.

But then you're back to the crux of the issue- you need big power to change that and tip the balance to the consumer, i.e. government, or something similar. But you claim its evil but refuse to give other options or courses of action.

You may say well that makes it more economically viable for alternative energy source to pop up. Thats a long process and even they need fossil fuels.

Again, everything demands fossil fuels. They're basically the planet's heroin, and only now with lithium and "eh, good enough" battery tech do we even have a possible alternative.

[I cut out the links for brevity -Girth]

I didnt realize you agreed with huge fossil fuel companies about how we should regulate them.

Honey gets flies more than vinegar Opti.

There's a lot to unpack from these. One thing comes to mind at once- BP states they support it because "much of the action is occurring at the state and regional level", so I could see billionaire corporations preferring the far simpler route of a federal tax than 50+ varying state and local taxes, the latter demanding their own regulations and pricing structures and thus demanding more workers to do so.

Another detail is from the propubliuca article: "Critics attribute these increases, in part, to a bevy of concessions the state has made to the oil and gas industry to keep the program going. They say these compromises have blocked steps that would have mandated real emissions reductions and threaten the state’s ability to meet its ambitious goal of slashing its emissions 40% by 2030." so there's also a very real issue of corruption from the oil and gas systems in effective legislation. I also note :

"Experts say cap and trade is rarely stringent enough when used alone; direct regulations on refineries and cars are crucial to reining in emissions. But oil representatives are engaged in a worldwide effort to make market-based solutions the primary or only way their emissions are regulated."

... this part, since I'm also saying you need tools in the toolbox and something like cap and trade is apart of them and not a silver bullet like Cali likes to pretend it can be. I thank you for getting me these links tho; It'll be some time and more information before my opinion becomes more hardened.

Great example. Government ruins everything. "lets burn this toxic chemical, Dont worry the air is fine to breath. Ignore the bird and fish dying everywhere." Do we really want to compare atrocities committed by the govt vs corporations? Generally the ones the corps do are actually sanctioned by the Govt.

A train derails because of poor maintenance and a lack of workers, and it's gubernments fault, not the fault of the corporation and it's shareholders and CEO that run it? You do understand Norfolk Southern made $1.2 billion the year prior right? Or are you back to half a billion of anything not mattering lmao

As for the controlled burn, it's a different discussion but I can pull out my old HAZMAT manuals and explain why they did that. It's typically because the alternatives were worse.

So instead of having a way or method to change things... just don't? Toss it to (your words) equally untrustworthy corporations? Just Don't bother? I understand complaining, but we need solutions, not endless whining.  I know what you're really doing here, but I want you to actually make a point- If we supposedly can't trust government (of it's people, mind you) or corporations to run power generation, then who?

I never said that large corporations are equally untrustworthy as the govt. In fact I will outright say the opposite. The government is less trustworthy than the large corporations. The corporations follow profit incentives, largely set by the govt,

I'm sorry, what. When did we become communist lmao?

The conversation about "whats being done" (this conversation) is largely linked with what the national conversation is. The national conversation is centered around a bunch of nothing-burgers, while we continue business as usual. My point is, if this is such a huge problem, lets look at actual solutions, not mandating EVs that are powered by coal.

Solutions you're still not providing lol

THEY'RE STILL SUPPORTING IT LMAO, THAT'S THE POINT laugh

Jesus, should we have not bothered with steam power because it ain't gas or diesel? No, we needed that E36 M3 as a stepping stone on the path of industrialization. Who cares if we get rid of nuclear if it leads to us going carbon-neutral and fixing climate change? We still did it.

Your point was we did a "180" on nuclear. I showed you a graph showing flat support over 30 years. Then I took your source and found the data behind it showing really only 15% of people support it, and most people dont support it or only support it as a stepping stone to a higher emissions energy source (wind). Its asinine and points to my previous point. We are stupid and arent doing anything. The goal isnt moving towards actual emissions reduction, its moving towards feel good marketing. The question was even framed as would you support it knowing it cleaned up emissions or something to that effect, and still they want the energy source that has a better marketing campaign (wind) but emits more. 

You're not reading my comments Opti. You're still:

1. Not proving that Wind is higher emissions than gasoline or petroleum.

2. Not accepting they're still putting in nuclear as a low to zero carbon energy source over other options.

3. Not accepting that people change, opinions change (as has been shown) and that they later on just might not replace the reactor.

4. Not accepting that in the future, conditions might change that warrant replacement with a different power supply. It's a nuclear reactor Opti.

I agree bumper sticker politics is terrible, and thats how we get people thats opinions are completely aligned with the MSM and are taught to hate succesful people and bigger government is the solution to everything. Those ideas are opposite what the country was founded on and led to its success.

You claim to hate it too, yet you still did it. Why are you bringing up MSM? "taught to hate succesful people"? You're trying to pin a label to me in your brain but I'm not going to let you. As for:

bigger government is the solution to everything. Those ideas are opposite what the country was founded on and led to its success.

... we had a political party called the Whigs, whom a tiny federal government was their entire schtick for existing. They're dead now, and for good reason- that tiny federal government can't do much when you're wracked with economic failure after failure or answer hard questions like "How can we be a moral nation when we're partially built on slave labor" which early America was. 

Mustang50
Mustang50 Reader
5/5/23 4:28 p.m.

When the administration shuts down things like the Keystone Pipeline and adds 90 plus regulations for oil and gas drilling and explorations it does force us to get our energy from outside sources rather than being independent.   We have more oil and gas in the ground than all of the OPEC nations combined.   The good news is another pipeline was restarted the day after inauguration, the one between Russia and Germany.  How do you think Putin got the money for his current adventure.

I'm too old to experience the effects of the decisions made in the last 2 years but my grandchildren will.

And when some politician decides he/she can get money or votes by going after fossil fuel racing then we'll have a problem.

Sixty years ago my grandfather told me in politics follow the money trail.

frenchyd
frenchyd MegaDork
5/5/23 5:05 p.m.

This post has received too many downvotes to be displayed.


frenchyd
frenchyd MegaDork
5/5/23 5:10 p.m.

This post has received too many downvotes to be displayed.


Opti
Opti SuperDork
5/5/23 5:27 p.m.

In reply to GIRTHQUAKE :

1. About your walkable cities. I didnt say walking on sidewalks is high stakes, walkable cities is high stakes because it would require regulation and tax dollars on existing cities. You may think its a valuable way to spend other peoples money, but plenty disagree. I believe spending other peoples money to try and achieve something while making little to no impact is high stakes. Your article said less than half a billion tons if the ENTIRE WORLD biked at the level of Denmark. As in EVERYONE would have to do it, you cant argue that half a billion tons is a big deal and we should do it, while also arguing that we arent forcing everyone. The only way you get to that number is if EVERYONE participates. Over 80% of people in Denmark are cyclist, so 80% of everyone in the world would have to cycle. Yah thats real, its a good idea because we can reduce 1% of CO2 emissions and not everyone has to participate only 80% of 8 billion people, even those that live in places where they are a long distance from food or needed supplies. The US, the richest country in the world, has like 8 percent of its population in food deserts, much worse for poorer countries. In Denmark close to 90% of people live in urban areas, the rate for the entire world is 57%, so if you are only talking about biking in towns, then as Ive said your half a billion tons figure is impossible. unless people also living outside of cities are required to bike.  You're right there is a difference between real and fake progress. Fake progress is where we spend a bunch of money and dont make a material difference. Results matter

2. I never claimed power from the grid is LESS efficient. I only claimed that physics applies to all energy creation including the burning of fossil fuels to power your EV. You are using stats which conveniently leaves that out of the equation but only for EVs. I believe I said it ends up being similar not less. I also pointed out how the US Govt said that EVs efficiency could reach 100%. propaganda much?

3. I have made a no true Scotsman argument. Ive flat out said multiple times on this board we dont have capitalism in the US we have corporate socialism. Your right the govt has its grubby hands in everything, yet Ive seen you multiple times on this board complaining about everything from treatment of workers to the climate. So if the govt has its hands in everything and you are so unhappy, why are you asking for more.

4. Im saying a theoretical system that isnt widely deployed because its not economically viable isnt a solution. Its a potential solution. Lots of potential solutions never happen. Dont show me things that MAY help and call them a solution they are a long way from being a solution. They are only an idea proven to work in a lab, not something proven to be economically viable and implemented. Ive heard a bunch of  "we are working on it" for the last 20 years but somehow seems like this is a more pressing emergency than ever. Doesnt seem like the working on it has bore much fruit. Forgive my cynicism. You use a quote to show something can be solved and the actual quote is saying how it isnt economically feasible

5. I never said wind polluted more than fossil fuels only that it created more CO2 emissions than nuclear. I also never said no one changes. I only showed that it hasnt done the 180 you said it did. As far as my source about nuclear being cleaner, I said the last stat I saw, because I havent looked at it lately, so ill google it.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Life-cycle_greenhouse_gas_emissions_of_energy_sources

Wikipedia puts wind at more than double the Co2 emissions. A quick google showed everything from them being the same to wind being 2 or 3 times worse a CO2 polluter. 

They even mention how much longer a nuclear plant lasts and say that rebuilding the wind after a much shorter life would have to also be taken into account.

6. I dont care to be lectured about history by someone that had to be educated on the installation of the dollar as the reserve currency in a discussion about the dollars future about the reserve currency. To say the whigs sole purpose was tiny federal government is outright wrong. They opposed executive power not necessarily federal power, only that it be shifted to the legislative branch, hell they even wanted a national bank.

PS quit ascribing arguments to me that i didnt make

Mustang50
Mustang50 Reader
5/5/23 10:35 p.m.

In reply to frenchyd :

In local governments I agree with you but at the national level the honest and hard working politicians are few.  To keep their jobs they need large amounts of money and they soon learn how to attract donors.  Please ask yourself why someone would spend millions to get elected to a position that pays $174,000/yr.  I know I sound cynical but I've seen too much not to be.  It would be great if our politicians had our best interest at heart.

Also  it would help if our news media was not biased and reported facts not opinions.

AnthonyGS (Forum Supporter)
AnthonyGS (Forum Supporter) UberDork
5/6/23 11:06 a.m.

In reply to Mustang50 :

We have a lot of untapped gas and oil in the US.  We are in no danger of running out.  We won't.  That said OPEC has far more of this stuff than we do.  I did spend 11 years estimating how much of this stuff there is all over the world.  
 

Also without hydrocarbon, there are no solar or wind farms.  Hydrocarbon is quite literally the fuel that made the industrial revolution possible.  No matter what anyone claims you won't unravel that building wind farms solar farms or by subsidy or policy.  I see anyone arguing otherwise to be at least partially dishonest.  

AnthonyGS (Forum Supporter)
AnthonyGS (Forum Supporter) UberDork
5/6/23 11:08 a.m.

In reply to frenchyd :

I hope you are right about the politicians but most evidence I see says they hate the average person and cater to their own special interests most often.  

frenchyd
frenchyd MegaDork
5/6/23 11:58 a.m.

I guess you and I must disagree. Regarding national politics.   I've seen both Republican and Democrats  do honorable things their parties disagree with.   Because of service to their states or personal belief's 

       Sure we can point out obvious exceptions.  Plus there are moves some of them do that are seriously questionable but not outright illegal.  
           Major   Contributors typically  expect to get rewarded for their contributions.    Clear exceptions are actors and actresses plus sports personality's who make too much doing what they do to think a government position as a reward.  
      Plus some wealthy contributors do it because they believe in the parties platforms.  They contribute out of patriotism. 
     I've met a few wealthy people who actually serve to be of service to the people. 
  Yet we both know of those who do it for the power and prestige. 

GIRTHQUAKE
GIRTHQUAKE SuperDork
5/6/23 12:33 p.m.
Opti said:

In reply to GIRTHQUAKE :

1. About your walkable cities. I didnt say walking on sidewalks is high stakes, walkable cities is high stakes because it would require regulation and tax dollars on existing cities.

This might be a shock to you Opti, but people walk AND bike in cities already. All the laws, infrastructure and details exist, it's just infrastructure needs to be expanded- I'd call that low risk. You also still haven't answered what "large scale biking" or "spread out" means.

You may think its a valuable way to spend other peoples money, but plenty disagree. I believe spending other peoples money to try and achieve something while making little to no impact is high stakes.

I've proven that wrong repeatedly, and I will continue to do so Opti- or you can refute my sources of The World Bank or Our World In Data. Your call.

 Your article said less than half a billion tons if the ENTIRE WORLD biked at the level of Denmark. As in EVERYONE would have to do it, you cant argue that half a billion tons is a big deal and we should do it, while also arguing that we arent forcing everyone.

I've told you- I'm not forcing anyone. I'm giving them the tools to not be dependent on something, setting them up for better choices and options. I want to tackle the issue now so things don't have to be forced because they've gotten bad, just like medicine and the human body. Or home maintenance. Or car maintenance. Or will you claim it's a false equivalency again and not prove why?

The only way you get to that number is if EVERYONE participates. Over 80% of people in Denmark are cyclist, so 80% of everyone in the world would have to cycle. Yah thats real, its a good idea because we can reduce 1% of CO2 emissions and not everyone has to participate only 80% of 8 billion people, even those that live in places where they are a long distance from food or needed supplies.

So now you admit it's possible, but because not everyone will participate we throw everything out in response? You pinball between demanding massive silver bullet changes while also demanding nothing be forced. That's pretty two-faced, especially when I keep repeating that this is one tool of many which you are blatantly ignoring and continue to cling to.

The US, the richest country in the world, has like 8 percent of its population in food deserts, much worse for poorer countries. In Denmark close to 90% of people live in urban areas, the rate for the entire world is 57%, so if you are only talking about biking in towns, then as Ive said your half a billion tons figure is impossible. unless people also living outside of cities are required to bike.  You're right there is a difference between real and fake progress. Fake progress is where we spend a bunch of money and dont make a material difference. Results matter

And now you're trying to bring the issue of food insecurity into the discussion? If you do I can rope that back into walkable cities no problem, because one of the core roots of that issue is systemic poverty in America in both the rural AND city-living working class- and having a walkable city that doesn't need you to own a car, one of the most expensive items people own, would help those in the city with that issue.

But you're not here to discuss dreams, or options, or possibilities. I'll ask again: I didn't know "progress" on something was now split into different categories. Is there a list that shows "real" progress from "fake" progress? How is this magic chart gonna deal with states and nations that have different issues in combating climate change?

2. I never claimed power from the grid is LESS efficient. I only claimed that physics applies to all energy creation including the burning of fossil fuels to power your EV. You are using stats which conveniently leaves that out of the equation but only for EVs. I believe I said it ends up being similar not less. I also pointed out how the US Govt said that EVs efficiency could reach 100%. propaganda much?

You literally did say it was less efficient, even on this page lmao:

"Thank you for proving my point. "Energy from the grid." Where does energy from the grid come from? In the US it largely comes from trucking large amounts of fossil fuels to a plant that then uses that fossil fuels to spin things and create energy. Theoretically very similar in the way that we use gasoline in an ICE. All you did is was move the yard stick from in front of to behind energy creation. Ive already presented the efficiency loss from coal and nat gas plants, how come you dont equate that into the efficiency of EVs?"

Then prove the Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy wrong, and prove that grid energy is still less efficient than a gas engine in a car. Until you do so, it ain't propaganda.

3. I have made a no true Scotsman argument. Ive flat out said multiple times on this board we dont have capitalism in the US we have corporate socialism.

You didn't yet make that argument, because I knew what you were trying to do.

Your right the govt has its grubby hands in everything, yet Ive seen you multiple times on this board complaining about everything from treatment of workers to the climate. So if the govt has its hands in everything and you are so unhappy, why are you asking for more.

I didn't know that talking about or criticizing things was "asking". You're not reading my comments Opti.

4. Im saying a theoretical system that isnt widely deployed because its not economically viable isnt a solution.

Weren't you talking about subsidies earlier? Weren't you also claiming government always makes more problems down the line, so there's no point for them to mandate a cyclical economy? You're quitting before you even start again.

Its a potential solution. Lots of potential solutions never happen. Dont show me things that MAY help and call them a solution they are a long way from being a solution. They are only an idea proven to work in a lab, not something proven to be economically viable and implemented.

You're not reading Opti. It's in use in the field but it's expensive; so either the blades are too expensive and made out of too esoteric of materials to easily recycle, or the process is complex and pricey and we need a method to reduce cost. I posted it as proof that your nihilism won't produce anything, and here you are still bashing your head against it days later. Had you ever posted in this thread as potential methods to solve these problems you'd probably be surprised with what opinion I have on it, but you again aren't reading my comments and you're running from potential solutions; for instance:

Ive heard a bunch of  "we are working on it" for the last 20 years but somehow seems like this is a more pressing emergency than ever. Doesnt seem like the working on it has bore much fruit.

What work? Which area? Renewable power? Nuclear power? Batteries? Politics? I love that I can keep copy and pasting statements I make: There's a lot of ways to save the earth, but I doubt laziness is one of them.

Forgive my cynicism.

It's based on nothing but ideology, so I won't. It's very easy to give up- did you ever ask yourself, who benefits from you thinking everyone is corrupt? Did you ever consider the end-result of saying everyone's a crook?

You use a quote to show something can be solved and the actual quote is saying how it isnt economically feasible

Oh so it can still be solved, but it's too expensive? You know there was once this item that could revolutionize who goods and services around the world moved, but it took a new method of thinking about it's assembly to take it from a toy of the rich to something the common man could enjoy.

It's your friggin car lmao

5. I never said wind polluted more than fossil fuels only that it created more CO2 emissions than nuclear. 

I also never said no one changes. I only showed that it hasnt done the 180 you said it did. As far as my source about nuclear being cleaner, I said the last stat I saw, because I havent looked at it lately, so ill google it.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Life-cycle_greenhouse_gas_emissions_of_energy_sources

Wikipedia puts wind at more than double the Co2 emissions. A quick google showed everything from them being the same to wind being 2 or 3 times worse a CO2 polluter. 

They even mention how much longer a nuclear plant lasts and say that rebuilding the wind after a much shorter life would have to also be taken into account.

You finally post evidence and it even contradicts you. Your own link has this picture from the IPCC:

 

Which shows it less than nuclear lmao. The UNCEC on the same page says otherwise, but it's double literally of 6 to 12 in comparison to some forms of coal in the thousands; and fact is, you can't just put a nuke anywhere you want and the infrastructure for wind is just going to be cheaper. Like I keep saying- tools in the toolbox. You're trying to drive metaphorical bolts into metal with a nuclear hammer.

I also never said no one changes. I only showed that it hasnt done the 180 you said it did.

Once again I get to copy and past because You're not reading my comments Opti. You're still:

2. Not accepting they're still putting in nuclear as a low to zero carbon energy source over other options. The Finns just fired up Olkiluoto-3 to full power.

3. Not accepting that people change, opinions change (as has been shown) and that they later on just might not replace the reactor.

4. Not accepting that in the future, conditions might change that warrant replacement with a different power supply. It's a nuclear reactor Opti.

People have difficulty changing suddenly anyway. This article has some associated research with documents going back to 1939 showing that rapid, sudden changes in your habits will fail 80-90% of the time, so demanding that aforementioned silver bullet- when such a power source has it's own supply chain for fuel, water requirements, and skilled workforce demands that have to be onsite 24/7- is pretty ludicrous, and that's coming from an individual who demands all coal plants be shuddered for sodium-cooled reactors and thorium-based fuel cycle devices.

6. I dont care to be lectured about history by someone that had to be educated on the installation of the dollar as the reserve currency in a discussion about the dollars future about the reserve currency.

Awww you think about me so much heart

To say the whigs sole purpose was tiny federal government is outright wrong. They opposed executive power not necessarily federal power, only that it be shifted to the legislative branch, hell they even wanted a national bank.

PS quit ascribing arguments to me that i didnt make

Ah ah, don't you try changing the discussion now- you still refuse to answer direct questions I'm asking you, like:

"you need big power to change that and tip the balance to the consumer, i.e. government, or something similar. But you claim its evil but refuse to give other options or courses of action. How do you intend to solve that issue?"

You claim "My point is, if this is such a huge problem, lets look at actual solutions, not mandating EVs that are powered by coal.What are those solutions, when you're refusing established methods of generating power that are low carbon like wind?

You also claimed "If you walk to your supermarket to buy bread but the bread was trucked in by a diesel truck and the energy used to keep the lights on is made by a coal plant 40 miles away, you havent made a material difference. " yet walking instead of driving means I didn't put something into the atmosphere. Explain that to me.

GIRTHQUAKE
GIRTHQUAKE SuperDork
5/6/23 12:39 p.m.
Mustang50 said:

In reply to frenchyd :

In local governments I agree with you but at the national level the honest and hard working politicians are few.  To keep their jobs they need large amounts of money and they soon learn how to attract donors.  Please ask yourself why someone would spend millions to get elected to a position that pays $174,000/yr.  I know I sound cynical but I've seen too much not to be.  It would be great if our politicians had our best interest at heart.

Also  it would help if our news media was not biased and reported facts not opinions.

We had a quick mention of that in the thread about the Invasion of Ukraine just yesterday. To quote 02Pilot:

"Without wading into the politically-charged morass of media bias, I think it is worth pointing out that Americans (and others, to be sure, but Americans in particular) are increasingly ill-equipped to ask the questions necessary to separate quality journalism from the dregs of unsupported opinions, loudly expressed. The basic tools are not being taught effectively, and the skills to use them less so. Case in point, the report last week regarding US History and Civics test scores continuing to decline (and some analysis of the situation).

To use a metaphor to which everyone can relate, if people want junk food, there are plenty of places that will provide it; but if all people know is junk food, and can't tell the difference between it and something prepared from better ingredients and with more care and attention, then the purveyors of quality food are going to struggle to survive, or even successfully explain what makes their offerings superior, while fast food restaurants will increasingly dominate the market."

In that thread I also mentioned how the problem of the influence of money on media has been a millenia long issue. They have bills to pay and lights to keep on, so at the end of the say they'll do what the free market demands- which ends up being doing things that gather and certify eyeballs on screens for clicks, not for good journalism.

From 06HHR:

"I don't think it's the media we deserve, but I do think it's the media we asked for.  Like you said, most Americans don't want the truth, unless it's their version of the "truth"." 

 It's hard not to be cynical of the issue- but then I remember that there's very, very powerful people who want me to be that way so that I don't change it. 

frenchyd
frenchyd MegaDork
5/6/23 12:41 p.m.

Plus not all electricity is created by coal.    Fact my state is actively eliminating coal and replacing it with solar and wind. 
I know we are not unique. 

Opti
Opti SuperDork
5/6/23 1:42 p.m.

In reply to GIRTHQUAKE :

I'm tired of going back and forth with you when you fail to comprehend basic premises, like when I say that EVs are subject to the same physics of energy creation it just happens farther up the supply chain and we don't count it in efficiency numbers is not saying EVs are less efficient than gas, or when I say nuclear power solves a bunch of problems and you keep saying "you're not giving solutions!", or failing to comprehend what material means, if you don't start your car just once you have actually lowered emissions, but you haven't solved anything or made a difference that actually matters (material)

You might also want to actually read that Wikipedia article. You posted the graph from the 10 year old study, if you scroll just a little farther you will see the more recent one published in 21. Showing wind at 2.5x more than nuke power, they even make a text reference (so you'll have to actually read it) to the French study finding even lower emissions for nuke. They even mention how it's more lopsided because it based on life cycle and nuclear can have 2 to 3 timed the life cycle and they didn't account for the additional emissions when rebuilding wind farms.

I don't think about you much at all but it is frustrating to debate with someone that doesn't understand a premise or history and instead of learning a little so they can join the conversation routinely posts prove it, teach me. When I said nuke is cleaner over the life cycle you could have googled it or posted differing information and we can debate about it, instead you said you don't believe it and left it at that. Try to keep up bud

VolvoHeretic
VolvoHeretic Dork
5/6/23 3:11 p.m.

In reply to Opti :

Nukes will never be viable, they are just too dangerous. The world has had 70 years to solve the nuclear waste storage problem but can't. Besides the meltdowns at 3 Mile Island, Chernobyl, and Fukushima, and now Minnesota's Monticello Nuclear Generating Plant, let's not forget deliberate sabotage as in Russia possibly destroying Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Station when they get kicked out of Ukraine out of spite. 

frenchyd
frenchyd MegaDork
5/6/23 3:42 p.m.

In reply to VolvoHeretic :

 The problem of nuclear can be easily solved. In fact we have the solution already dug.  All that is left is the political will to deal with the NIMBY's 

    I believe a little money and a future draft pick ( pro sports team) would solve that problem.  
     Don't forget we have nuclear missiles  in silo's all over the Midwest already. Plus those on Submarines  along the coast.   Then anyplace a Air Craft carrier is tied up has nuclear power and I'm sure some  nuclear power plants are still running.      
       Some straight talk from informed people will calm everyone down and this country will recognize how many people die because of coal and oil compared to Nuclear.  
   Are Nuc's 100% safe?  Nope but nothing is. 

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