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NickD
NickD UltraDork
1/4/18 2:47 p.m.
Duke said:
GameboyRMH said:
Duke said:

Actually, the odds of I dying on any given day are 1 in 365.  The odds of II also passing away on that same day are 1 in 133,225.  The odds of I, II, and III or IV leaving us on the same day are 365^3 or 1 in 48,627,125.

This is, of course, ignoring Leap Year days.

Wrong, unless NickD's great grandfather was a magical being who could only be killed on one specific but unknown day of the year and he battled deadly magical foes every day, the odds of him dying on some day of the year are 1 in 1 cheeky

Hahahaha, you're right, of course.  My post gives the odds of them dying on, specifically, January 4th.  Your original post gives the correct odds for II dying on the same random day as his father did...

...but, if he can only be killed on a specific day and he battles deadly magical foes every day, his odds of dying on that particular day are still 1 to 1 (assuming his foes are undefeatable when he is vulnerable).  I'm glad to have provided the assist for your little fantasy epic, here.

Boy, I'm going to boot up a word processor and start working on this novel.

NOHOME
NOHOME UltimaDork
1/4/18 2:52 p.m.

In reply to NickD :

Still with us?

bentwrench
bentwrench Dork
1/4/18 2:55 p.m.

[carrier loss]

NickD
NickD UltraDork
1/4/18 3:00 p.m.

In reply to NOHOME :

For now. No word on III. 

Soooooooo, if I don't log on tomorrow, how long before you guys send a search party?

fasted58
fasted58 MegaDork
1/4/18 3:26 p.m.

Stare misfortune right in the eye and buy lottery tickets.

T.J.
T.J. MegaDork
1/4/18 4:20 p.m.

I'll check back on this thread tomorrow and see how it all worked out this year. Fingers crossed.

secretariata
secretariata Dork
1/4/18 7:22 p.m.

Hope you make it out of today and into tomorrow!

Other weird family deaths, my father and his immediately older brother died on the same day one year apart.

Wally
Wally MegaDork
1/4/18 9:06 p.m.

 

You’re almost there

Woody
Woody MegaDork
1/4/18 9:08 p.m.

In reply to NickD :

If it makes you feel any better, I have my mother in law’s cat in the death pool. 

759NRNG
759NRNG Dork
1/4/18 9:20 p.m.
NickD said:

In reply to NOHOME :

For now. No word on III. 

Soooooooo, if I don't log on tomorrow, how long before you guys send a search party?

At daybreak!!!!!.....really,  but yur responses to other threads are especially troubling . I detect  a deep sadness and hope you either reach out here or seek some other help......you have a lot to offer PERIOD!!!!.....don't screw it up.

Hungary Bill
Hungary Bill UberDork
1/4/18 10:42 p.m.
xflowgolf
xflowgolf Dork
1/4/18 11:07 p.m.

Not sure what time zone you’re in, but it’s after midnight on the east coast, so you’re good here.  

nutherjrfan
nutherjrfan SuperDork
1/4/18 11:55 p.m.

Abe Vigoda.  Too soon. laugh

nutherjrfan
nutherjrfan SuperDork
1/5/18 12:00 a.m.

Steve Buscemi?  Sorry I can't sleep right now. 

 

NickD
NickD UltraDork
1/5/18 5:27 a.m.

My father survived. I survived. Good for another year

chandler
chandler PowerDork
1/5/18 5:30 a.m.
NickD said:

My father survived. I survived. Good for another year

Nicely done

Duke
Duke MegaDork
1/5/18 6:29 a.m.

Awesome!

NickD
NickD UltraDork
1/5/18 7:08 a.m.

I'm going to start treating it like Arthur Dent in Mostly Harmless, when he finds out he's fated to accidentally kill a guy at a point in time he hasn't reached, so he starts being completely reckless because he knows that he has to survive until that point in time. I can live like a lunatic 364 (or 365, if it's a leap year) days a year, because I can only die on January 4th.

 

On a side note, as a celebration of surviving another January 4th, and an early birthday present, I'm purchasing a Kraftwerks blower kit for my Miata.

Duke
Duke MegaDork
1/5/18 7:14 a.m.

Once you go blower, you never go back. 

Toyman01
Toyman01 MegaDork
1/5/18 7:20 a.m.

Once you blowher...wait, that's not right.

 

Never mind.

NickD
NickD UltraDork
1/5/18 7:23 a.m.

Because I'm jumping from 1.6L to the 1.8L and adding a supercharger, once could effectively say I'm getting stroked and blown.

Robbie
Robbie PowerDork
1/5/18 8:27 a.m.

It's starting to sound like a diesel truck forum in here.

Keith Tanner
Keith Tanner MegaDork
1/5/18 8:43 a.m.
NickD said:

I'm going to start treating it like Arthur Dent in Mostly Harmless, when he finds out he's fated to accidentally kill a guy at a point in time he hasn't reached, so he starts being completely reckless because he knows that he has to survive until that point in time. I can live like a lunatic 364 (or 365, if it's a leap year) days a year, because I can only die on January 4th.

 

On a side note, as a celebration of surviving another January 4th, and an early birthday present, I'm purchasing a Kraftwerks blower kit for my Miata.

That IS reckless! wink

Congrats on surviving The Evil Fourth.

NickD
NickD UltraDork
1/5/18 9:25 a.m.
Keith Tanner said:
NickD said:

I'm going to start treating it like Arthur Dent in Mostly Harmless, when he finds out he's fated to accidentally kill a guy at a point in time he hasn't reached, so he starts being completely reckless because he knows that he has to survive until that point in time. I can live like a lunatic 364 (or 365, if it's a leap year) days a year, because I can only die on January 4th.

 

On a side note, as a celebration of surviving another January 4th, and an early birthday present, I'm purchasing a Kraftwerks blower kit for my Miata.

That IS reckless! wink

Congrats on surviving The Evil Fourth.

Can't tell if that's just in reference to the concept of throwing boost at a Miata, or if it's a subtle dig at the Kraftwerks kit.

Keith Tanner
Keith Tanner MegaDork
1/5/18 9:38 a.m.

Just having some fun, thus the wink. I'll be interested in your thoughts of a centrifugal on a street car.

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