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grover
grover Dork
10/7/24 9:20 p.m.

This one could be huge. Be smart my west coast friends! I've got cots if you need to bug out east and south to Jupiter. 

Mr_Asa
Mr_Asa MegaDork
10/7/24 10:22 p.m.

 

 

For our Midwest friends:

To see it a different way, the center of the storm is 70 mile wide EF2 tornado with a core equivalent to an EF4 level tornado.

Antihero
Antihero PowerDork
10/7/24 11:09 p.m.

Man , I'm happy we don't get hurricanes here

David S. Wallens
David S. Wallens Editorial Director
10/7/24 11:40 p.m.

In reply to Mr_Asa :

The power and size are just impressive–small yet fierce. Sounds like water will be the big issue, though. Looking at the surge map now, and a friend’s house is in a very red area–and she just got flooded a week or so ago.

z31maniac
z31maniac MegaDork
10/7/24 11:43 p.m.

In reply to Mr_Asa :

That's terrifying...and this is someone who grew up and lives in Oklahoma.

Stay safe y'all.

David S. Wallens
David S. Wallens Editorial Director
10/7/24 11:48 p.m.

Not sure if this makes a hurricane more or less terrifying than a tornado: You know it’s heading your way for days. Oh, and it might swerve away, too. 

It is stressful. Very. 

 

CrustyRedXpress
CrustyRedXpress Dork
10/7/24 11:53 p.m.

In reply to David S. Wallens :

Somebody told me it was like being stalked by a turtle.

jgrewe
jgrewe Dork
10/7/24 11:59 p.m.

Latest surge map is predicting 9'+ of surge at my place in StPBch. The last surge came in at 7.25' and it put 30" of water in the building. It will be interesting to see how the claim is handled. I'm guessing it will just be listed as the difference between the first one to this one.

Now, the wind damage I expect will be a different policy.

I may end up with a total "do over" out there.sad

David S. Wallens
David S. Wallens Editorial Director
10/8/24 12:08 a.m.

In reply to CrustyRedXpress :

Kind of, yeah. Like a turtle that could totally ruin your day. And the turtle might zig and attack someone else. 

I woke up extremely stressed. Around lunchtime, I settled into my usual level of stress. 

What do you do when there’s a hurricane out there? Don’t freak out. Get a plan, and lots of good info has been shared here. 

We got all the cars safely stored away, my wife’s Civic Si is in the garage with a full tank of gas, and we have the little Honda generator from the office (plus about 10 gallons of fuel). 

We have food, water, tarps, good neighbors and an invitation to go visit my parents. We can’t really board up our house, but the gutters are clean. The fridge and freezer aren’t too full. 

My wife had already set up her spooky graveyard out front, and now it’s all away–along with the bird feeders, planters, outdoor furniture, etc., etc. 

Flashlights and lanterns are charged, we’re caught up on laundry, and I just started the dishwasher. 

Been in contact with our family on the West Coast of the state. 

The other complication: We ship the next issue of GRM this coming Monday. It’s nearly done (I feel like we’re actually a tick ahead of schedule) but we still need to button it up. Fortunately the GRM editorial staff isn’t all in Florida. 

Also, I’m supposed to be in California right now for a press launch. Obviously I had to cancel at the last minute. 

SKJSS (formerly Klayfish)
SKJSS (formerly Klayfish) UltimaDork
10/8/24 12:50 a.m.

Not sure what I want to do.  My wife and I just bought a condo in Indian Harbour Beach FL.  It's a small town on the east coast, near Melbourne and about 20 miles north of Vero Beach.  I've literally never seen it in person, nor has she (long story).  We settled on it a week ago.  Due to the traveling nature of our job, we have very limited time to get there or even see it.  We had/have planned to head there tomorrow (Tuesday) and arrive around 2pm.  The plan was to see it in person and take stock of what we want to keep, as we bought it fully furnished.  After this trip our next opportunity to see it is in 3 weeks, when we plan to make the permanent move there.  Since we're on the east coast, the storm should be much weaker when it gets there.  However, Indian Harbour Beach is an island and it'll still be a notable storm.  My condo is a block from the beach and on the second floor.  Concrete building.

David S. Wallens
David S. Wallens Editorial Director
10/8/24 1:19 a.m.

In reply to SKJSS (formerly Klayfish) :

Personally, I’d stay off the roads until this passes. We’re north of your new condo in Ormond Beach, and today I saw a gas station out of 87. 

David S. Wallens
David S. Wallens Editorial Director
10/8/24 1:22 a.m.

Latest news from Denis Phillips, a chief meteorologist out of Tampa: slight move south in the modeling.

This was posted around 1:00 a.m. on Tuesday. 

So yay for us but the other side of the coin: the guilt that it’s going to still ruin someone’s day. 

I should get some sleep. Be safe, everyone. 

VolvoHeretic
VolvoHeretic SuperDork
10/8/24 2:43 a.m.

I remember (watching on TV) Hurricane Andrew when it blew through Homestad, FL back in 1992 with Category 5 winds at over 157 mph. Be careful, almost nothing can be designed to withstand those winds not to mention nearly 200 mph.

I remember seeing photos that showed because of un-enforced or plain old building code violations, entire tracts of homes where mowed down while other entire tracts of homes just across the street where left standing with only superficial damage. The only difference was the builder who built the houses. Some used only half of the nails required or no shear wall sheathing with only siding attached to the wall studs while others followed the building codes.

The Insurance Institute for Business & Home Safety built a wind tunnel research building that can house full size houses for testing and can generate Category 3 (111 to 129 mph) wind speeds. 

IBHS.org: Research Test Center

 

Slippery
Slippery UltimaDork
10/8/24 7:15 a.m.

Left home last night around 7pm. All good until the Florida Turnpike merges onto I-75. It took me two hours from there to Gainsville, which is about 60 miles. Its like a mass Florida exodus. 

I-75 has 5 lanes there, the left emergency lane is open to traffic and the right emergency lane was a line of tractor trailers parked that I assume had already done their allowed driving time and were napping. 
 

Hopefully today I can get close to Tupelo or so. 

 

Duke
Duke MegaDork
10/8/24 7:26 a.m.

Hopefully this lightens the mood without making light of the situation:

OHSCrifle
OHSCrifle PowerDork
10/8/24 7:40 a.m.
Mr_Asa said:

For our Midwest friends:

To see it a different way, the center of the storm is 70 mile wide EF2 tornado with a core equivalent to an EF4 level tornado.

That is spooky. Having driven (crawled basically with two dogs and a newborn in the car) out of the path of a hurricane in the past my advice is get out sooner rather than later. Go. 

Fueled by Caffeine
Fueled by Caffeine MegaDork
10/8/24 8:06 a.m.

That would be one big tornado. 

 

Last tornado I dealt with was tiny by comparison. One moment you're watching your kids soccer game in a field and the next you're driving home because of some stupid sirens. 

P3PPY
P3PPY SuperDork
10/8/24 8:15 a.m.

Sheesh, guys, thanks for the tornado comparison. Being from Tornado Alley I guess I always thought of it as a bad thunderstorm with lots of flooding, didn't realize how bad the actual storm was what with overly dramatic reporters standing in windy corridors and all that.

WonkoTheSane
WonkoTheSane UltraDork
10/8/24 8:22 a.m.

Nothing I can do for you from up here in CT, but I'm thinking of you all!  Stay safe and sane!

Mr_Asa
Mr_Asa MegaDork
10/8/24 8:28 a.m.
P3PPY said:

Sheesh, guys, thanks for the tornado comparison. Being from Tornado Alley I guess I always thought of it as a bad thunderstorm with lots of flooding, didn't realize how bad the actual storm was what with overly dramatic reporters standing in windy corridors and all that.

In addition to the general tornado comparison, you get actual mini-twisters that spawn off at times and go wandering through areas

Jerry
Jerry PowerDork
10/8/24 8:31 a.m.

Being a life-long Midwestern Ohio guy, I can relate to tornado comparisons.  Oof.  We're heading to Niagara Falls tomorrow morning, for a small trip for our anniversary.  Kinda glad we didn't decide on Disney/GE again, one hurricane visit was enough.

Once again, hoping my newly transplanted FL friends that gave me E36 M3 about not missing blizzards and snow are ok.  (Although we did just have the hurricane leftovers last week and lost power for 4 days.)

David S. Wallens
David S. Wallens Editorial Director
10/8/24 8:38 a.m.

Expected power outage map posted at 8:30 a.m. this morning.

Despite what this says, I expect to lose power. We have underground utilities–but they’re fed from overhead wires....

Toyman!
Toyman! MegaDork
10/8/24 8:40 a.m.

Stay safe boys and girls. 

 

 

David S. Wallens
David S. Wallens Editorial Director
10/8/24 8:46 a.m.

While the actual storm center sounds small, don’t forget about the water–because a lot of it will be pushed. 

This storm surge map is from last night and assumes the track at the time.

That’s a lot of people impacted. 

DirtyBird222
DirtyBird222 PowerDork
10/8/24 8:54 a.m.

I was evacuated out of South Tampa on Sunday after spending the whole week cleaning up around the area outside of MacDill. I tried convincing my ex-wife and kids to come up to the panhandle with me where they could have the whole guest side of the house to themselves but she wants to ride it out....like cool you can, let me bring the kids with me. She won't even go to my storage unit there to get my generator and portable A/C unit. 

I've got a full tank of gas in my Sequoia with enough gas jugs to get me all the way down to Orlando to help once this thing passes. It's looking like it's going to be a gnarly one. I'm getting flashbacks of 2004, freshman year of college at FAU, 3/4 weeks into the semester we get those 4 hurricanes in a row here. 

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