It's time again to play... "Guess the Damage Amount"!

$5000

3125

$4,333.74

$5001.00 

$3985

$5050

The official number is: $4,093.06 which puts John Welsh as the closest without going over. Want a GRM sticker John? PM me where to mail it. I'll post a pic of the repair when I get it.

I am honored to have won.  I shall pass on the sticker.  "I've already got one."

Was there anything on the document that gave the answer to this game?  

John Welsh said:

Berk the fender

Marry the bumper

Kill the suspension 

 

Oh wait, different game

Mathematicians have noticed that people, on average, are very good guessers.

I took the average of everyone’s estimate (sans the four values that weren’t actual estimates) and got $4,299.79 which was only $206.73 (5.051%) above the actual….not too shabby given that there were only a few exterior pics taken by a cell phone to go by.

Technically, this is known as signal averaging and Hannah Fry (Ph.D. mathematician that I find very easy on the eyes BTW) demonstrated this principle during a recent TED Talk....I think it was titled "Magic Numbers".

Hannah Fry's Wiki

$3750.95

EDIT... shoot, should have read the whole post.

Just saw this and was going to guess $4001. Oh well. 

RX Reven' said:

Mathematicians have noticed that people, on average, are very good guessers.

I took the average of everyone’s estimate (sans the four values that weren’t actual estimates) and got $4,299.79 which was only $206.73 (5.051%) above the actual….not too shabby given that there were only a few exterior pics taken by a cell phone to go by.

Technically, this is known as signal averaging and Hannah Fry (Ph.D. mathematician that I find very easy on the eyes BTW) demonstrated this principle during a recent TED Talk....I think it was titled "Magic Numbers".

Hannah Fry's Wiki

 

I think that's really cool!

Ian F said:

$3999. Since $4000 was already guessed. 

Next up for the sticker is Ian F.  I thought going $1 under was a bad strategy, but you win.  Just pm where to send it if you want the prize.

In reply to RX Reven' :

Off to go find her Ted talk! 

$5,700

How many people watched the Ted Talk?

I did.