In terms of global population- there are enough areas around the world that face a pretty significant dropping of birth rates.
In terms of global population- there are enough areas around the world that face a pretty significant dropping of birth rates.
In reply to alfadriver :
The trend is already slowing.
1 Billion 1804
2 Billion 1927
3 Billion 1960
4 Billion 1974
5 Billion 1987
6 Billion 1998
7 Billion 2010
8 Billion 2022
9 Billion 2037
10 Billion 2058
In reply to STM317 :
I don't have time to fact check right now but as a stats guy that graph looks suspiciously linear.
If you think about it, the annual percent increase would need to be decreasing at a rate that almost perfectly matches the annual multiple increase for many, many decades.
Of course, anything is possible but in the absence of some external factor (government control, etc.) natural processes rarely behave like that.
Added later...
I went to your source and downloaded an Excel file with the data...stuck it in statistical software (MiniTab)...generated this time series plot:
X Axis: "1" = 1961 and "61" = 2021.
Y Axis: Annual percent population increase.
In reply to RX Reven' :
It's also a graph of very large numbers over a relatively short period of time, that doesn't include any sudden paradigm-changing shifts in technology.
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